Integration of individual encounter information into causation probability modelling of ship collision accidents

Maritime accidents, especially ship collisions, have always been a threat to the safety of maritime transport industry, the regional and global economy, and societies, due to its dire consequences. In this paper, a novel method to model causational factors, one of the critical elements of probabilistic risk modelling of ship collision accidents, is proposed. A credal probabilistic graphical network model based on imprecise probabilities was...