At Home on the Range? Lay Interpretations of Numerical Uncertainty Ranges
Abstract
Numerical uncertainty ranges are often used to convey the precision of a forecast. In three studies, we examined how users perceive the distribution underlying numerical ranges and test specific hypotheses about the display characteristics that affect these perceptions. We discuss five primary conclusions from these studies: (1) substantial variation exists in how people perceive the distribution underlying numerical ranges; (2) distributional...
Paper Details
Title
At Home on the Range? Lay Interpretations of Numerical Uncertainty Ranges
Published Date
Mar 24, 2015
Journal
Volume
35
Issue
7
Pages
1281 - 1295
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