The cresting wave: larval settlement and ocean temperatures predict change in the American lobster harvest

Adding to the challenge of predicting fishery recruitment in a changing environment is downscaling predictions to capture locally divergent trends over a species’ range. In recent decades, the American lobster ( Homarus americanus ) fishery has shifted poleward along the northwest Atlantic coast, one of the most rapidly warming regions of the world's oceans. Building on evidence that early post‐settlement life stages predict future fishery...