A Spring Barrier for Regional Predictions of Summer Arctic Sea Ice
Abstract
Seasonal forecast systems can skillfully predict summer Arctic sea ice up to 4 months in advance. For some regions, however, there is a springtime predictability barrier that causes forecasts initialized prior to May to be less skillful. Since this barrier has only been documented in a few general circulation models (GCMs), we evaluate GCMs participating in phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project. We first show sea ice volume...
Paper Details
Title
A Spring Barrier for Regional Predictions of Summer Arctic Sea Ice
Published Date
Jun 9, 2019
Journal
Volume
46
Issue
11
Pages
5937 - 5947
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