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Nature Climate Change
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#1Mathieu Pernice (UTS: University of Technology, Sydney)H-Index: 17
#2David J. Hughes (UTS: University of Technology, Sydney)H-Index: 2
Predicting coral bleaching is critical to better manage and preserve coral reefs from global warming. An impressive coordination of surveys across oceans now offers new metrics to help to predict coral bleaching events on a global scale.
#1Yanlan Liu (Duke University)H-Index: 3
#2Mukesh Kumar (UA: University of Alabama)H-Index: 17
Last.Amilcare Porporato (Princeton University)H-Index: 60
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Climate-induced forest mortality is being widely observed across the globe. Predicting forest mortality remains challenging because the physiological mechanisms causing mortality are not fully understood and empirical relations between climatology and mortality are subject to change. Here, we show that the temporal loss of resilience, a phenomenon often detected as a system approaches a tipping point, can be used as an early warning signal (EWS) to predict the likelihood of forest mortality dire...
#1Francesco Lamperti (European Institute)H-Index: 8
#2Valentina Bosetti (European Institute)H-Index: 34
Last.Massimo Tavoni (European Institute)H-Index: 36
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Recent evidence suggests that climate change will significantly affect economic growth and several productive elements of modern economies, such as workers and land1–4. Although historical records indicate that economic shocks might lead to financial instability, few studies have focused on the impact of climate change on the financial actors5,6. This paper examines how climate-related damages impact the stability of the global banking system. We use an agent-based climate–macroeconomic model ca...
#1Shinichiro Fujimori (Kyoto University)H-Index: 32
#2Joeri Rogelj (ETH Zurich)H-Index: 38
Last.Keywan Riahi (Graz University of Technology)H-Index: 67
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Future emissions scenarios for the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report should explore the carbon budget space in a systematic manner, which would be robust to the updates of latest climate science, so that policy implications can be adequately assessed.
#1Barret L. Kurylyk (Dal: Dalhousie University)H-Index: 16
Observations reveal recent Arctic warming, but future societal impacts are poorly understood. Now research identifies potential abrupt thaw-driven soil moisture shifts, with consequences for northern development including more intense wildfires and rainfall.
#1Likai Zhu (LYU: Linyi University)H-Index: 4
#2Anthony R. Ives (UW: University of Wisconsin-Madison)H-Index: 67
Last.Volker C. Radeloff (UW: University of Wisconsin-Madison)H-Index: 63
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Refugia are habitats that allow organisms to persist when the environment makes persistence impossible elsewhere. The subnivium—the interface between snowpack and ground—is an important seasonal refugium that protects diverse species from extreme winter temperatures, but its future duration is uncertain with climate change. Here, we predict that subnivium duration will decrease from 126 d (2010–2014) to 110 d (2071–2100), which we have inferred using past and future duration of frozen ground wit...
#1Wenyu Zhou (LBNL: Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory)H-Index: 4
#2Shang-Ping Xie (UCSD: University of California, San Diego)H-Index: 83
Last.Da Yang (UC Davis: University of California, Davis)H-Index: 6
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Under anthropogenic warming, deep-tropical ascent of the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) is projected to contract equatorward1–3 while subtropical descent associated with the Hadley cell edge is predicted to expand poleward4. These changes have important implications for regional climate2,5–7, but their mechanisms are not well understood. Here we reveal a key role of enhanced equatorial surface warming (EEW) in driving the deep-tropical contraction and modulating the Hadley expansion. By s...
#1Lauren C. Howe (UZH: University of Zurich)H-Index: 3
#2Bo MacInnis (Stanford University)H-Index: 3
Last.Robert H. Socolow (Princeton University)H-Index: 30
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Predictions about the effects of climate change cannot be made with complete certainty, so acknowledging uncertainty may increase trust in scientists and public acceptance of their messages. Here we show that this is true regarding expressions of uncertainty, unless they are also accompanied by acknowledgements of irreducible uncertainty. A representative national sample of Americans read predictions about effects of global warming on sea level that included either a worst-case scenario (high pa...
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