Generalized logistic growth modeling of the COVID-19 outbreak in 29 provinces in China and in the rest of the world
Published: Mar 12, 2020
Abstract
Background: the COVID-19 has been successfully contained in China but is spreading all over the world. We use phenomenological models to dissect the development of the epidemics in China and the impact of the drastic control measures both at the aggregate level and within each province. We use the experience from China to analyze the calibration results on Japan, South Korea, Iran, Italy and Europe, and make future scenario...
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