Modelling the situation of COVID-19 and effects of different containment strategies in China with dynamic differential equations and parameters estimation

Abstract
This paper proposed a quarantine-susceptible-exposed-infectious-resistant (QSEIR) model which considers the unprecedented strict quarantine measures in almost the whole of China to resist the epidemic. We estimated model parameters from published information with the statistical method and stochastic simulation, we found the parameters that achieved the best simulation test result. The next stage involved quantitative predictions of future...
Paper Details
Title
Modelling the situation of COVID-19 and effects of different containment strategies in China with dynamic differential equations and parameters estimation
Published Date
Mar 13, 2020
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