Probabilistic Petri-net addition enabling decision making depending on situational change: The case of emergency response to fuel tank farm fire

Emergency response was usually not taken into account in the analysis of safety barriers to prevent fire-induced domino effects. When emergency response is considered, in addition to failure events, successful events may also have an impact on fire escalation, and there may be a dependency between pre- and post-events. To model such events and carry out probability analysis, a probabilistic Petri-net (PPN) approach is proposed. The definition of...