A novel, more reliable approach to use of progression-free survival as a predictor of gain in overall survival: The Ottawa PFS Predictive Model

Progression-free survival (PFS) hazard ratios and gain in median PFS are suggested predictors of overall survival (OS) gain (with gain defined as experimental arm minus control arm values). We assessed use of half-lives (time to progression/death of half remaining patients). We reviewed randomized trials from Journal of Clinical Oncology and New England Journal of Medicine, 01/2012-06/12/2017 (discovery series) and 01/01/2007-12/31/2011 (first...