Ensemble Sensitivity Analysis of Heavy Rainfall Associated With Three MCSs Coexisting Over Southern China

Using ensemble‐based sensitivity analysis, a heavy rainfall event over southern China was analyzed to investigate the key controlling factors of rainfall amount and relevant predictability. The heavy rainfall event was caused by three coexisting mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) over southwestern China (MCS‐A), the south coast of China (MCS‐B), and northern Taiwan (MCS‐C). The three MCSs exhibited differences and similarities with respect to...