Examining multidecadal trends in the surface heat balance over the tropical and subtropical oceans in atmospheric reanalyses

Trends in the components of the annual‐mean surface heat balance for 1979–2018 over the tropical and subtropical oceans are examined in multiple atmospheric reanalyses to understand how they are changing with current sea surface temperature (SST) trends. Confidence in the reanalysis values is evaluated through statistical significance, agreement among datasets, and physical analysis. While the climatology of the net surface heat flux is similar...