Calculating the posterior odds from a single-match DNA database search with hidden assumptions

Wixted et al. (2019) addressed the question of how forensic statisticians should advise courts of law about the implications of a single-match DNA database search. The prevailing view in the field is that statisticians should advise courts about the likelihood ratio associated with forensic evidence because it is a purely statistical estimate derived from case-independent measurements (e.g. Neumann et al., 2016). Conversely, they should refrain...