Modeling algorithm influence on the success of predicting new populations of rare species: ground-truthing models for the Pale-Belly Frost Lichen (Physconia subpallida) in Ontario

Conservation of rare species relies on a thorough knowledge of distributions and the locations of populations. Field surveys for new populations of rare species are time consuming and resource intensive. Thus, it is essential to conduct searches as efficiently as possible. Model-based sampling, where species distribution models are used to select sites with high probability of the species presence for surveys, can drastically improve the...