Duration and decay of Arctic stratospheric vortex events in the ECMWF seasonal forecast model

Volume: 144, Issue: 717, Pages: 2876 - 2888
Published: Oct 1, 2018
Abstract
Previous studies have documented extreme stratospheric polar vortex events, but the factors governing their duration have received little attention. Here, we investigate weak and strong stratospheric polar vortex events simulated in ensemble reforecasts for the Northern Hemisphere winter with the seasonal forecast model (System 4) of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasting, in comparison with the European Reanalysis Interim...
Paper Details
Title
Duration and decay of Arctic stratospheric vortex events in the ECMWF seasonal forecast model
Published Date
Oct 1, 2018
Volume
144
Issue
717
Pages
2876 - 2888
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