Unraveling the Mystery of Indian Summer Monsoon Prediction: Improved Estimate of Predictability Limit

Abstract
Large socio-economic impact of the Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) extremes motivated numerous attempts at its long range prediction over the past century. However, a rather estimated low potential predictability limit (PPL) of seasonal prediction of the ISM, contributed significantly by 'internal' interannual variability was considered insurmountable. Here we show that the 'internal' variability contributed by the ISM sub-seasonal (synoptic +...
Paper Details
Title
Unraveling the Mystery of Indian Summer Monsoon Prediction: Improved Estimate of Predictability Limit
Published Date
Sep 4, 2018
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