Identifying first signals of emerging dominance in a technological innovation system: A novel approach based on patents

Actors of an early stage technological innovation system (TIS) need to carefully attend to future developments given the high strategic uncertainty that often prevails in such systems. Such uncertainty is a reflection of the different technology categories that exist as well as the highly dynamic character of such systems in general. It is only gradually, as a result, that dominance of one technology category emerges against alternative...