Multimodel ensembles improve predictions of crop–environment–management interactions

A recent innovation in assessment of climate change impact on agricultural production has been to use crop multimodel ensembles ( MME s). These studies usually find large variability between individual models but that the ensemble mean (e‐mean) and median (e‐median) often seem to predict quite well. However, few studies have specifically been concerned with the predictive quality of those ensemble predictors. We ask what is the predictive...