Identification of Drought Occurrences Using Ensemble Predictions up to 20-Days in Advance
Abstract
In the present study, skill of an extended range forecast system has been evaluated for identifying droughts over central India 20-days in advance. Rainfall forecasts from 44 ensemble members of the forecast system developed Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology (IITM), Pune have been used to prepare probabilistic rainfall forecasts. It is seen that the uncertainties in the forecasts (in terms of ensemble spread) increases from day-5 to day...
Paper Details
Title
Identification of Drought Occurrences Using Ensemble Predictions up to 20-Days in Advance
Published Date
Feb 23, 2018
Journal
Volume
32
Issue
6
Pages
2113 - 2130
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