Short-term extreme ice loads prediction and fatigue damage evaluation for an icebreaker

In this paper, the short-term extreme value statistics of the ice loads acting on ship hull and the fatigue damage due to ice loads actions are studied. Due to the stochastic nature of the ice-induced loads and randomness of the ice thickness, probabilistic methods and models are applied in order to find some correlations between the ice-induced loads statistics and the prevailing ice conditions. For the extreme value prediction, the average...