Exploring the Persistent Behavior of Financial Markets

This paper presents the persistent behavior hypothesis for financial markets, which is tested statistically on five stock indices from 2001 to 2014. We find significant results in all five stock markets for the full sample period as well as subperiods. A persistent behavior strategy (PBS) on index futures is also presented, the net annual returns of which are significantly higher than 15% in all futures markets including transaction costs. The...