Seasonal predictability of Kiremt rainfall in coupled general circulation models

Volume: 12, Issue: 11, Pages: 114016 - 114016
Published: Nov 1, 2017
Abstract
The Ethiopian economy and population is strongly dependent on rainfall. Operational seasonal predictions for the main rainy season (Kiremt, June–September) are based on statistical approaches with Pacific sea surface temperatures (SST) as the main predictor. Here we analyse dynamical predictions from 11 coupled general circulation models for the Kiremt seasons from 1985–2005 with the forecasts starting from the beginning of May. We find skillful...
Paper Details
Title
Seasonal predictability of Kiremt rainfall in coupled general circulation models
Published Date
Nov 1, 2017
Volume
12
Issue
11
Pages
114016 - 114016
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