Differential prediction generalization in college admissions testing.

We introduce the concept of differential prediction generalization in the context of college admissions testing. Specifically, we assess the extent to which predicted first-year college grade point average (GPA) based on high-school grade point average (HSGPA) and SAT scores depends on a student’s ethnicity and gender and whether this difference varies across samples. We compared 257,336 female and 220,433 male students across 339 samples,...