Hourly Solar Irradiance Prediction Based on Support Vector Machine and Its Error Analysis

Due to a variability and uncertainty of photovoltaic (PV) output power, PV operators may be subject to significant penalties on forthcoming energy markets. Thus, the accurate prediction of PV output power plays a very important role in energy market. This paper proposes a novel solar prediction scheme for one-hour ahead prediction of solar irradiance based on various meteorological factors including the cloud cover and support vector machine...