The VNK2-project: a fully probabilistic risk analysis for all major levee systems in the Netherlands

Quantitative risk analysis is a powerful tool for assessing flood risks. The VNK2-project is a large-scale, fully probabilistic risk analysis for the low-lying parts of the Netherlands. It started in 2006 and draws upon decades of research and development. Flood probabilities are quantified in a Bayesian framework, taking into account the uncertainties related to loading conditions, the strength of flood defences, the outcomes of physical...