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Arctic sea ice variability and trends, 1979–2006

Published on Jul 1, 2008in Journal of Geophysical Research3.235
· DOI :10.1029/2007JC004558
Claire L. Parkinson39
Estimated H-index: 39
(GSFC: Goddard Space Flight Center),
Donald J. Cavalieri44
Estimated H-index: 44
(GSFC: Goddard Space Flight Center)
Abstract
Analyses of 28 years (1979-2006) of Antarctic sea ice extents and areas derived from satellite passive microwave radiometers are presented and placed in the context of results obtained previously for the 20-year period 1979-1998. We present monthly averaged sea ice extents and areas, monthly deviations, yearly and seasonal averages, and their trends for the Southern Hemisphere as a whole and for each of five sectors: the Weddell Sea, the Indian Ocean, the western Pacific Ocean, the Ross Sea, and the Bellingshausen/Amundsen seas. The total Antarctic sea ice extent trend increased slightly, from 0.96 ± 0.61% decade -1 to 1.0 ± 0.4% decade -1 , from the 20- to 28-year period, reflecting contrasting changes in the sector trends. The eight additional years resulted in smaller positive yearly trends in sea ice extent for the Weddell Sea (0.80 ± 1.4% decade -1 ), the western Pacific Ocean (1.4 ± 1.9% decade -1 ), and the Ross Sea (4.4 ± 1.7% decade -1 ) sectors, a lessening of the negative trend for the Bellingshausen/ Amundsen seas (-5.4 ± 1.9% decade -1 ) sector, and a shift from a negative trend to a positive trend for the Indian Ocean (1.9 ± 1.4% decade -1 ) sector. The trends for the Southern Hemisphere as a whole and for the Ross Sea sector are significant at the 95% level, whereas the trend for the Bellingshausen/Amundsen seas sector is significant at the 99% level. A similar pattern of yearly trend changes for the two periods is also apparent in the sea ice area time series.
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