Coping with the Unpredictable Effects of Future Technologies
Abstract
Available methods such as technology assessment and risk analysis have failed to predict the effects of technological choices. We need to give up the futile predictive ambitions of previous approaches and instead base decisions on systematic studies of alternative future developments. It will then be necessary to cope with mere possibility arguments, i.e., arguments in which a conclusion is drawn from a mere possibility that a course of action...
Paper Details
Title
Coping with the Unpredictable Effects of Future Technologies
Published Date
Mar 1, 2011
Journal
Volume
24
Issue
2
Pages
137 - 149
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