Seasonal rainfall forecasting for Africa part II—application and impact assessment

An experimental seasonal rainfall forecast for the African Sahel as a whole has been issued by the UK Meteorological Office for each year since 1986. The scientific aspects of the forecast, including its current and possible future status, have been discussed in Part I of this paper. Here, we examine how the forecast might be applied, and assess the impacts it may have on potential users in Africa. Five groups of users of the rainfall forecasts...