Colliding cascades model for earthquake prediction

A wide set of premonitory seismicity patterns is reproduced on a numerical model of seismicity, and their performance in the prediction of major model earthquakes is evaluated. Seismicity is generated by the colliding cascades model, recently developed by the authors. The model has a hierarchical structure. It describes the interaction of two cascades: a direct cascade of loading, which is applied to the top (largest) element and transfers down...