The golden rule of forecasting: Objections, refinements, and enhancements ☆

Volume: 68, Issue: 8, Pages: 1702 - 1704
Published: Aug 1, 2015
Abstract
null null In providing a “golden rule” for forecasting, Armstrong, Green, and Graefe (this issue) raise aspirations that reliable forecasting is possible. They advocate a conservative approach that mainly involves extrapolating from the present. We comment on three issues that relate to their proposed Golden Rule: its scope of application, the importance of highly improbable events, and the challenges of communicating...
Paper Details
Title
The golden rule of forecasting: Objections, refinements, and enhancements ☆
Published Date
Aug 1, 2015
Volume
68
Issue
8
Pages
1702 - 1704
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