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Projections of total hip replacement in Sweden from 2013 to 2030

Published on Jun 1, 2014in Acta Orthopaedica3.22
· DOI :10.3109/17453674.2014.913224
Szilard Nemes18
Estimated H-index: 18
,
Max Gordon14
Estimated H-index: 14
(KI: Karolinska Institutet)
+ 1 AuthorsOla Rolfson17
Estimated H-index: 17
(University of Gothenburg)
Abstract
Background and purpose — The continuously increasing demand for joint replacement surgery in the past decades imposes higher constraints on the budgets of hospitals and healthcare providers. We undertook an analysis of historical trends in total hip replacement performed in Sweden between 1968 and 2012 in order to provide projections of future demand. Data and methods — We obtained data on total hip replacements registered every year and on the evolution of the Swedish population between 1968 and 2012. We assumed the existence of a maximum incidence. So we adopted a regression framework that assumes the existence of an upper limit of total hip replacement incidence. Results — We found that the incidence of total hip replacement will continue to increase until a projected upper incidence level of about 400 total hip replacements per 105 Swedish residents aged 40 years and older will be reached around the year 2107. In 2020, the estimated incidence of total hip replacement will be 341 (95% prediction interv...
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  • References (21)
  • Citations (49)
References21
Newest
#1Charlotte Davies (UEA: University of East Anglia)H-Index: 3
#2G. Andrew D. Briggs (Glas.: University of Glasgow)H-Index: 81
Last.Henrik Malchau (Harvard University)H-Index: 56
view all 5 authors...
#1Stefano A. BiniH-Index: 15
#2Stephen Sidney (KP: Kaiser Permanente)H-Index: 87
Last.Michael Sorel (KP: Kaiser Permanente)H-Index: 11
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#1E. T. SkyttäH-Index: 10
#2Leskinen Jarkko (HYKS: Helsinki University Central Hospital)H-Index: 1
Last.Remes Ville (HYKS: Helsinki University Central Hospital)H-Index: 1
view all 5 authors...
#1Keijo MäkeläH-Index: 22
#2Mikko Peltola (National Institute for Health and Welfare)H-Index: 25
Last.Ville Remes (HYKS: Helsinki University Central Hospital)H-Index: 33
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#1Paul M. LukacsH-Index: 18
#2Kenneth P. Burnham (CSU: Colorado State University)H-Index: 59
Last.David R. Anderson (CSU: Colorado State University)H-Index: 54
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Cited By49
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#1Linnea Oldsberg (University of Gothenburg)
#2Göran Garellick (University of Gothenburg)H-Index: 34
Last.Szilard Nemes (University of Gothenburg)H-Index: 18
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#1Ilana N. Ackerman (University of Melbourne)H-Index: 23
#2Megan Bohensky (University of Melbourne)H-Index: 17
Last.Richard de Steiger (University of Melbourne)H-Index: 19
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#1Peter Espinosa (Karolinska University Hospital)
#2Rüdiger J. Weiss (Karolinska University Hospital)H-Index: 16
Last.Johan Kärrholm (University of Gothenburg)H-Index: 55
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#1Robert Middleton (University of Oxford)H-Index: 16
#2T. Khan (Queen's University)
Last.Abtin Alvand (NOC: Nuffield Orthopaedic Centre)H-Index: 12
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#1Jean-Hugues Salmon (URCA: University of Reims Champagne-Ardenne)H-Index: 3
#2Anne-Christine Rat (University of Lorraine)H-Index: 17
Last.Bruno Fautrel (University of Paris)H-Index: 14
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#1Xiang-Dong Wu (CQMU: Chongqing Medical University)H-Index: 2
#2Mian Tian (CQMU: Chongqing Medical University)H-Index: 1
Last.Wei Huang (CQMU: Chongqing Medical University)H-Index: 9
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