Future Burden and Costs of Smoking-Related Disease in the Netherlands: A Dynamic Modeling Approach

In this article, we explore the future health gain of different policy measures to reduce smoking prevalence: health education campaigns specifically aimed at keeping (young) people from starting to smoke, campaigns aimed at persuading smokers to quit, and tax measures.We drew up different policy scenarios based on evaluations of several health promotion campaigns. Implementing these into the dynamic multistate models, we simulated smoking...