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High-ranked social science journal articles can be identified from early citation information.

Published on Nov 12, 2014in PLOS Biology
· DOI :10.1371/journal.pone.0112520
David I. Stern46
Estimated H-index: 46
(ANU: Australian National University)
Abstract
Do citations accumulate too slowly in the social sciences to be used to assess the quality of recent articles? I investigate whether this is the case using citation data for all articles in economics and political science published in 2006 and indexed in the Web of Science. I find that citations in the first two years after publication explain more than half of the variation in cumulative citations received over a longer period. Journal impact factors improve the correlation between the predicted and actual future ranks of journal articles when using citation data from 2006 alone but the effect declines sharply thereafter. Finally, more than half of the papers in the top 20% in 2012 were already in the top 20% in the year of publication (2006).
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  • References (38)
  • Citations (31)
References38
Newest
#1Graziella Bertocchi (Economic Policy Institute)H-Index: 17
#2Alfonso Gambardella (Bocconi University)H-Index: 40
Last.Franco Peracchi (University of Rome Tor Vergata)H-Index: 22
view all 5 authors...
#1Lutz Bornmann (MPG: Max Planck Society)H-Index: 48
#2Loet Leydesdorff (UvA: University of Amsterdam)H-Index: 83
Last.Jian Wang (Katholieke Universiteit Leuven)H-Index: 13
view all 3 authors...
#1Dashun Wang (NU: Northeastern University)H-Index: 16
#2Chaoming Song (NU: Northeastern University)H-Index: 26
Last.Albert-La szlo Baraba siH-Index: 120
view all 3 authors...
#1Daniel Sgroi (Warw.: University of Warwick)H-Index: 11
#2Andrew J. Oswald (Warw.: University of Warwick)H-Index: 63
Cited By31
Newest
#1Cristiano Giuffrida (VU: VU University Amsterdam)H-Index: 20
#2Giovanni Abramo (National Research Council)H-Index: 28
Last.Ciriaco Andrea D’Angelo (University of Rome Tor Vergata)H-Index: 28
view all 3 authors...
#1Giovanni Abramo (National Research Council)H-Index: 28
#2Ciriaco Andrea D’Angelo (University of Rome Tor Vergata)H-Index: 28
Last.Giovanni Felici (National Research Council)H-Index: 16
view all 3 authors...
#1Cristiano Giuffrida (VU: VU University Amsterdam)H-Index: 20
#2Giovanni Abramo (University of Rome Tor Vergata)H-Index: 28
Last.Ciriaco Andrea D’Angelo (University of Rome Tor Vergata)H-Index: 28
view all 3 authors...
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