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Derek J. Ward
University of Birmingham
Retrospective cohort studyEmerging technologiesHealth technologyDiseaseMedicine
27Publications
8H-index
306Citations
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Publications 25
Newest
#1Derek J. Ward (University of Birmingham)H-Index: 8
#2Lucy Doos (University of Birmingham)H-Index: 7
Last. Andrew Stevens (University of Birmingham)H-Index: 30
view all 3 authors...
Objectives To investigate the trend in the launch price of new drugs for five common health conditions. Design Cross-sectional study using data on new drugs launched in the UK between 1981 and 2015 for hypertension, asthma, rheumatoid arthritis, schizophrenia and colorectal cancer. Data and sources All drugs marketed in the UK between 1981 and 2015 (inclusive), and licensed specifically for the treatment of one of the five chosen conditions were included in the study. Newly launched medicines an...
Source
#1Lucy Doos (University of Birmingham)H-Index: 7
#2Claire Packer (University of Birmingham)H-Index: 12
Last. Andrew Stevens (University of Birmingham)H-Index: 30
view all 5 authors...
Objective To describe and classify health technologies predicted in forecasting studies. Design and methods A portrait describing health technologies predicted in 15 forecasting studies published between 1986 and 2010 that were identified in a previous systematic review. Health technologies are classified according to their type, purpose and clinical use; relating these to the original purpose and timing of the forecasting studies. Data sources All health-related technologies predicted in 15 for...
Source
#1Colm T Leonard (National Institute for Health and Care Excellence)H-Index: 1
#2Derek J. Ward (University of Birmingham)H-Index: 8
Last. Carole Longson (National Institute for Health and Care Excellence)H-Index: 9
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2 CitationsSource
Source
#1Sara TrevittH-Index: 2
#2Sue SimpsonH-Index: 13
Last. Derek J. WardH-Index: 8
view all 3 authors...
2 Citations
#1Lucy Doos (University of Birmingham)H-Index: 7
#2Derek J. Ward (University of Birmingham)H-Index: 8
Last. Claire Packer (University of Birmingham)H-Index: 12
view all 4 authors...
Objectives To determine the accuracy of pharmaceutical companies' predictions of drug licensing timeframes for their products in late stage clinical development. Methods We compared predicted licensing dates provided to the National Institute for Health Research Horizon Scanning Research and Intelligence Centre by pharmaceutical companies against actual marketing authorisation application (MAA) and marketing authorisation (MA) dates published by the European Medicines Agency for drugs granted au...
Source
#1Louise Dixon (University of Birmingham)H-Index: 17
#2Derek J. Ward (University of Birmingham)H-Index: 8
Last. Ravi Mahadeva (Cambridge University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust)H-Index: 26
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There is a need for straightforward, novel diagnostic and monitoring technologies to enable the early diagnosis of COPD and its differentiation from other respiratory diseases, to establish the cause of acute exacerbations and to monitor disease progression. We sought to establish whether technologies already in development could potentially address these needs. A systematic horizon scanning review was undertaken to identify technologies in development from a wide range of commercial and non-com...
9 CitationsSource
#1Lucy Doos (University of Birmingham)H-Index: 7
#2Claire Packer (University of Birmingham)H-Index: 12
Last. Andrew Stevens (University of Birmingham)H-Index: 30
view all 5 authors...
Objectives Forecasting can support rational decision-making around the introduction and use of emerging health technologies and prevent investment in technologies that have limited long-term potential. However, forecasting methods need to be credible. We performed a systematic search to identify the methods used in forecasting studies to predict future health technologies within a 3–20-year timeframe. Identification and retrospective assessment of such methods potentially offer a route to more r...
6 CitationsSource
#1Tracey GenusH-Index: 3
#2Sue SimpsonH-Index: 13
Last. Derek J. WardH-Index: 8
view all 3 authors...
1 Citations
#1Beth BoddiceH-Index: 1
#2Sue SimpsonH-Index: 13
Last. Derek J. WardH-Index: 8
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