Rachel Warren
University of East Anglia
Publications 120
#1Ove Hoegh-Guldberg (UQ: University of Queensland)H-Index: 86
#2Daniela JacobH-Index: 3
Last.G. ZhouH-Index: 1
view all 21 authors...
BACKGROUND The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) was established in 1992 to pursue the “stabilization of greenhouse gas concentrations at a level that would prevent dangerous anthropogenic interferences with the climate system.” Since 1992, five major climate change assessment cycles have been completed by the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). These reports identified rapidly growing climate-related impacts and risks, including more intense storms,...
1 CitationsSource
#1Aristeidis G. Koutroulis (TUC: Technical University of Crete)H-Index: 21
#2Lamprini Papadimitriou (Cranfield University)H-Index: 7
Last.Richard A. Betts (University of Exeter)H-Index: 57
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Abstract Global sustainability is intertwined with freshwater security. Emerging changes in global freshwater availability have been recently detected as a combined result of human interventions, natural variability and climate change. Expected future socio-economic and climatic changes will further impact freshwater resources. The quantification of the impacts is challenging due to the complexity of interdependencies between physical and socio-economic systems. This study demonstrates a vulnera...
#1Simon DietzH-Index: 25
#2Alex BowenH-Index: 16
Last.Rachel WarrenH-Index: 29
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Correction for “Limiting global-mean temperature increase to 1.5–2 °C could reduce the incidence and spatial spread of dengue fever in Latin America,” by Felipe J. Colon-Gonzalez, Ian Harris, Timothy J. Osborn, Christine Steiner Sao Bernardo, Carlos A. Peres, Paul R. Hunter, and Iain R. Lake, which was first published May 29, 2018; 10.1073/pnas.1718945115 (Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. 115, 6243–6248).
#1Rachel Warren (UEA: University of East Anglia)H-Index: 29
#2Neil R. Edwards (OU: Open University)H-Index: 30
Last.Craig Wallace (UEA: University of East Anglia)H-Index: 5
view all 27 authors...
We use the flexible model coupling technology known as the bespoke framework generator to link established existing modules representing dynamics in the global economy (GEMINI_E3), the energy system (TIAM-WORLD), the global and regional climate system (MAGICC6, PLASIM-ENTS and ClimGEN), the agricultural system, the hydrological system and ecosystems (LPJmL), together in a single integrated assessment modelling (IAM) framework, building on the pre-existing framework of the Community Integrated As...
1 CitationsSource
#1Simon Dietz (LSE: London School of Economics and Political Science)H-Index: 25
#2Alex Bowen (LSE: London School of Economics and Political Science)H-Index: 16
Last.Rachel Warren (UEA: University of East Anglia)H-Index: 29
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The economic case for limiting warming to 1.5°C is unclear, due to manifold uncertainties. However, it cannot be ruled out that the 1.5°C target passes a cost-benefit test. Costs are almost certainly high: The median global carbon price in 1.5°C scenarios implemented by various energy models is more than US$100 per metric ton of CO2 in 2020, for example. Benefits estimates range from much lower than this to much higher. Some of these uncertainties may reduce in the future, raising the question o...
2 CitationsSource
#1O. Hoegh GuldbergH-Index: 1
#2D. JacobH-Index: 1
Last.R. ZougmoreH-Index: 1
view all 87 authors...
2 Citations
#1Rachel Warren (UEA: University of East Anglia)H-Index: 29
#2Robert L. Wilby (Lboro: Loughborough University)H-Index: 66
Last.Jason Lowe (University of Leeds)H-Index: 50
view all 7 authors...
A wide range of climate vulnerability and risk assessments have been implemented using different approaches at different scales, some with a broad multi-sectoral scope and others focused on single risks or sectors. This paper describes the novel approach to vulnerability and risk assessment which was designed and put into practice in the United Kingdom's Second Climate Change Risk Assessment (CCRA2) so as to build upon its earlier assessment (CCRA1). First, we summarize and critique the CCRA1 ap...
11 CitationsSource
#1Sonia I. Seneviratne (ETH Zurich)H-Index: 63
#2Joeri RogeljH-Index: 38
Last.Rachel Warren (UEA: University of East Anglia)H-Index: 29
view all 14 authors...
The United Nations’ Paris Agreement includes the aim of pursuing efforts to limit global warming to only 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels. However, it is not clear what the resulting climate would look like across the globe and over time. Here we show that trajectories towards a ‘1.5 °C warmer world’ may result in vastly different outcomes at regional scales, owing to variations in the pace and location of climate change and their interactions with society’s mitigation, adaptation and vulnerab...
13 CitationsSource
#1Rachel Warren (UEA: University of East Anglia)H-Index: 29
#2J. Price (UEA: University of East Anglia)H-Index: 9
Last.Jeremy VanDerWal (JCU: James Cook University)H-Index: 34
view all 5 authors...
In the Paris Agreement on Climate Change, the United Nations is pursuing efforts to limit global warming to 1.5°C, whereas earlier aspirations focused on a 2°C limit. With current pledges, corresponding to ~3.2°C warming, climatically determined geographic range losses of >50% are projected in ~49% of insects, 44% of plants, and 26% of vertebrates. At 2°C, this falls to 18% of insects, 16% of plants, and 8% of vertebrates and at 1.5°C, to 6% of insects, 8% of plants, and 4% of vertebrates. When ...
27 CitationsSource